Jasmine Paolini vs Madison Keys Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Wojtek Kolan

Our Predictions

H2H Records Career Stats

HEAD TO HEAD
J. Paolini vs M. Keys

Jasmine Paolini

ITA

1

Win

Played

1

Win

Age

Height

1.78m

C. Rank

Best Rank

Total Titles

Ytd Titles

$8.1M

Career Money

$20.8M

Right-Handed

Plays

Right-handed (two-handed backhand)

Madison Keys

USA

1

Win

Played

1

Win

Age

Height

1.78m

C. Rank

Best Rank

Total Titles

Ytd Titles

$8.1M

Career Money

$20.8M

Right-Handed

Plays

Right-handed (two-handed backhand)

Head-To-Head: Paolini 1 - 1 Keys

They have played 4 sets in total, with Jasmine Paolini winning 1 and Madison Keys winning 3. The last match between Jasmine Paolini and Madison Keys was at the Wimbledon - London, 07-07-2024, Round: R4, Surface: Grass, with Jasmine Paolini getting the victory 6-3 6-7(6) 5-5 ret..

Players	Head To Head Match Wins
Paolini	1
Keys	1

Last H2H Matches:

(R4) Wimbledon - London(07-07-24)

Stats

Jasmine Paolini

Madison Keys

(R2) Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal(08-09-23)

Stats

Jasmine Paolini

w/o

Madison Keys

(R1) Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai(02-19-23)

Stats

Madison Keys

Jasmine Paolini

J. Paolini vs M. Keys H2H Profile

J. Paolini	Stats	M. Keys
$8,090,965	Career Prize Money	$20,819,148
59.81% (436-293)	Career Total W/L	64.47% (421-232)
1	Grass	0
0	Hard	1
14	Titles	14
1	Total H2H Matches	1
71.70% (38-15)	YTD Win/Loss	74.00% (37-13)
1	YTD Titles	2

J. Paolini vs M. Keys Match Preview

Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Jasmine Paolini has won 42.95% of points on their second serve, while Madison Keys has won 42.20%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Jasmine Paolini, in recent form, has won 48.30% of their opponent's second serve points, while Madison Keys has won 48.96%. The same stats for first serve returns are 34.63% and 30.53% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
Under pressure analysis: Jasmine Paolini has saved 47.72% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Madison Keys has saved 56.27% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Performance overview: Over the last year Jasmine Paolini has won 68.75% of matches played (W/L 44/ 20), with Madison Keys winning 72.22% (W/L 44/ 15) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
Best surface: Jasmine Paolini has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 226/ 127), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 49% (W/L 17/ 18). Madison Keys has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 71% (W/L 54/ 22), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 53% (W/L 17/ 15).
Player level: In the last year, Jasmine Paolini has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 68.57% of matches (W/L 24/ 11), where as Madison Keys has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 66.67% of matches (W/L 16/ 8). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
Direct H2H matches: They have played 2 times before with Jasmine Paolini winning 1 times and Madison Keys being victorious 1 times. They have played 4 sets in total, with Jasmine Paolini winning 1 and Madison Keys winning 3. The last match between Jasmine Paolini and Madison Keys was at the Wimbledon - London, 07-07-2024, Round: R4, Surface: Grass, with Jasmine Paolini getting the victory 6-3 6-7(6) 5-5 ret..
Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:41:38.
Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Jasmine Paolini has played against opponents with an average rank of 59.91 while Madison Keys has played against players with an average rank of 47.96.
Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Jasmine Paolini has won 65% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Madison Keys has won 75% in all matches played on tour.
Break point conversion: In recent form, Jasmine Paolini has converted 40.91% of breakpoint opportunities, and Madison Keys has converted 36.36% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.

Jasmine Paolini vs Madison Keys Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.

J. Paolini vs M. Keys H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

J. Paolini	Stats	M. Keys
1	H2H Matches Won	1
1	Sets Won	3
19	Games Won	27
2	Aces (Total)	11
6	Total Double Faults	4
1:41:38	Avg. Match Time	1:41:38
70% (110/158)	1st Serve %	70% (110/158)
57% (63/110)	1st Serve Win %	58% (64/110)
35% (17/48)	2nd Serve Win %	50% (24/48)
50% (8/16)	Break Pts Won %	63% (12/19)
44% (70/158)	Return Pts Won %	49% (78/158)
0% (0/1)	Best‑of‑3 Win %	100% (1/1)
100% (1/1)	Best‑of‑5 Win %	0% (0/1)
0% (0/1)	1st Set Won → Match Won	100% (1/1)
0% (0/1)	1st Set Won → Match Lost	0% (0/1)
0% (0/1)	1st Set Lost → Match Won	0% (0/1)

Recent Performance Stats

J. Paolini Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
Billie Jean King Cup, Finals - 15-09-2025
Rubber 2 Jessica PegulaJ. Pegula	W	6-4 6-2	Stats
Rubber 2 Elina SvitolinaE. Svitolina	W	3-6 6-4 6-4	Stats
Rubber 2 Xinyu WangX. Wang	W	4-6 7-6(4) 6-4	Stats
U.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025
R3 Marketa VondrousovaM. Vondrousova	L	7-6(4) 6-1	Stats
R2 Iva JovicI. Jovic	W	6-3 6-3	Stats

View All

M. Keys Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
U.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025
R1 Renata ZarazuaR. Zarazua	L	6-7(10) 7-6(3) 7-5	Stats
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati - 04-08-2025
R4 Elena RybakinaE. Rybakina	L	6-7(3) 6-4 6-2	Stats
R3 Aoi ItoA. Ito	W	6-4 6-0	Stats
R2 Eva LysE. Lys	W	1-6 6-3 7-6(1)	Stats
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal - 28-07-2025
QF Clara TausonC. Tauson	L	6-1 6-4	Stats

View All

J. Paolini vs M. Keys Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

J. Paolini	Stats	M. Keys
59.81% (436/293)	YTD Win/Loss	64.47% (421/232)
56.35% (963/746)	Sets Win/Loss	62.39% (934/563)
52.34% (8201/7468)	Games Win/Loss	54.70% (7680/6361)
57.94% (146/106)	Hard Win/Loss	64.12% (252/141)
64.02% (226/127)	Clay Win/Loss	64.47% (98/54)
52.81% (47/42)	Indoor Hard W/L	53.13% (17/15)
48.57% (17/18)	Grass Win/Loss	71.05% (54/22)
0.07	Aces Per Game	0.42
551	Aces Total	2887
0.17	Double Faults Per Game	0.2
1317	Total Double Faults	1397
1:15:9	Average Match Time	1:19:25
386.34	Average Opponent Rank	347.43
65% (26603/40884)	1st Serve %	63% (25438/40308)
60% (15885/26603)	1st Serve Win %	69% (17455/25438)
47% (6707/14277)	2nd Serve Win %	48% (7145/14853)
48% (2419/5024)	Break Points Won % (Total)	44% (2116/4827)
46% (18248/39854)	Return Points Win %	43% (18047/41504)
51.39% (37/35)	Slam W/L	70.86% (124/51)
57.29% (55/41)	Masters W/L	56.31% (116/90)
57.89% (11/8)	Cups W/L	44.44% (4/5)
54.97% (105/86)	Main Tour W/L	66.32% (126/64)
64.36% (177/98)	Challenger W/L	64.91% (37/20)
67.11% (51/25)	Futures W/L	87.50% (14/2)
59% (426/719)	Best of 3 Sets Win %	65% (417/641)
100% (2/2)	Best of 5 Sets Win %	25% (1/4)
54% (81/149)	Tiebreaks Win % (Total)	58% (102/177)
61% (157/259)	Deciding Set Win %	53% (104/196)
86% (394/339)	1st Set Won, Won Match	87% (425/369)
14% (394/54)	1st Set Won, Lost Match	13% (425/55)
28% (334/92)	1st Set Lost, Won Match	22% (228/51)